The Modern Investor

Where Will Interest Rates Go Next?
Forecasting, Investing Eric Blattner Forecasting, Investing Eric Blattner

Where Will Interest Rates Go Next?

There was a 50% chance rates would be cut by 1.5% this year, all the way to the 3.50% to 3.75% range.

At the same time, the idea of rates remaining high (or even rising) seemed improbable, to say the least. Fast forward to today. The current odds that the lower end of the Fed Funds target range will be 5.0% or higher by the end of the year is basically a 1-to-1 coin flip.

Consider this another example of just how quickly expectations about interest rates can change.

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Looking Past the S&P 500: Is Everything at All-Time Highs?
Investing Eric Blattner Investing Eric Blattner

Looking Past the S&P 500: Is Everything at All-Time Highs?

If you are reading this, the odds are high that you don’t have 100% of your investable assets in an index fund tracking the S&P 500. You probably own other types of investments. So, what about smaller companies? Or foreign companies? Or other asset classes? Are they also at all-time highs? It turns out other pockets have not participated in this run, at least not to the same degree.

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Small Companies. Small Returns?
Investing, Stocks Eric Blattner Investing, Stocks Eric Blattner

Small Companies. Small Returns?

Traditional theory suggests investors should earn higher returns in riskier investments, like small caps. However, small cap stocks have underperformed large caps for more than a decade. And they have even underperformed bigger, more stable stocks since the late 1970s. Which begs the question: why own smaller, riskier companies if we aren’t earning higher returns?

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